Adrian's DeFi Alpha

Adrian's DeFi Alpha

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Why The Real Capitulation May Still Be Ahead.
Why Late Buyers Are Returning, What Top Cohorts Signal, and How to Size Calmly.
May 14
Two Crypto Markets: Which One Are You In?
Bitcoin ETF Inflows, DeFi’s Security Crisis, and HYPE’s Finance Takeover
May 5

April 2026

The Bull Case Looks Too Perfect
Bullish Data, Bearish Timing, and the Coming Retest.
Apr 29
PUMP Looks Cheap, Is It Solana’s Best Bet?
Bitcoin stays strong while PUMP starts to look seriously underpriced.
Apr 22
AAVE Pumped. I Sold. Here’s Why
BTC reclaimed momentum, tokenization kept growing and two conflicting onchain reads
Apr 14
BTC Relief Rally, But Is Pain Over?
BTC reclaims strength, ETH rebuilds its thesis, and TAO plus ZEC flash relative power.
Apr 8

March 2026

Oil Shock vs Crypto: Global Disruption as a Catalyst?
ETF Inflows Rise While Whales Distribute and Hyperliquid Captures Macro Flows
Mar 20

January 2026

Growth Up, Inflation Down. Risk On?
Bitcoin ETF demand confirms year-end de-risking is over and chatbots become businesses
Jan 18
Compression Phase Before The Next Break?
BTC Consolidation, Political Shockwaves, and the Next Market Tell
Jan 13
Macro Tailwinds, Crypto Still Hesitating
Attention Economics and Crypto Price Action
Jan 9
Bitcoin First, Memes Follow Fast
What structure says, what onchain contradicts, and how to trade it.
Jan 6

December 2025

The Good, the Bad, the Ugly and What’s Next
The mental and market frameworks we carry into 2026
Dec 30, 2025
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